Stanford's Andrew Luck is the best quarterback prospect since Peyton
Manning was drafted in 1998, and is creating more draft hysteria than
any player since John Elway in '83. And it's impacting the integrity of
the game.
“Suck For Luck” is clever and funny, of course, but it's not a good
thing when fans are rooting for their teams to lose just two months into
the season, and there are whispers in October whether teams are truly
trying to “Suck For Luck.”
Roger Goodell should change the rules in the middle of the game:
Instead of the No. 1 pick in the draft going to the team with the worst
record, the NFL needs to institute a modified version of the NBA's draft
lottery, which includes all the teams that don't make the playoffs.
Our proposal: A weighted lottery for the teams with the five worst
records. In a typical year that would include teams that won four games
or fewer. The team with the worst record would own the most ping-pong
balls. It makes sense for the NFL: It would not only eliminate the
integrity questions in Miami and Indianapolis and elsewhere, but the
league can turn it into a moneymaker by selling the television rights
for the draft lottery and naming rights to the states of the teams that
run lotteries.
Hey, you never know.
The NFL should do it for the 2012 Luck Derby and all future drafts.
The NBA began its lottery in 1985 after the Houston Rockets were
accused of tanking games to get Hakeem Olajuwon one year earlier. The
Knicks won the NBA's first lottery, but that didn't end the cynicism as
the league was accused of fixing it so Patrick Ewing, the clear top
pick, would go to the Knicks.
An NFL general manager told the Daily News that he would “absolutely”
endorse a draft lottery “to make sure there is no manipulation, to keep
everybody on a level playing field,” he said. “Nobody goes out and plays
to deliberately lose, but they may not do things that help them win.
Like bringing in a better player.”
The GM was referring to the Colts, who left themselves exposed at
backup quarterback even though they knew that Manning had neck surgery
in May. Manning and the Colts were at a disadvantage because they
weren't allowed to have contact during the lockout, but the Colts waited
until Aug. 25, exactly one month after the lockout ended, to add a
veteran backup. They brought in Kerry Collins out of retirement, while
still hoping Manning could play.
Manning then had serious neck surgery on Sept. 8 and is likely lost for
the season. The Colts thought so little of backup Curtis Painter, their
sixth-round pick in 2009, that Collins started the opener in Houston
despite being with the team only 17 days.
Collins suffered a concussion in the third game and last week was
placed on injured reserve. For his troubles, Collins is making $4
million. Combined with the $26.4 million the Colts owe Manning this
season as part of his new contract, that's $30.4 million to quarterbacks
not on the field.
Giants co-owner John Mara, a member of the competition committee, said a
draft lottery has never been discussed. “I don't think it will ever
happen,” he said. “I don't think any team out there intentionally tries
to lose games. Players on the field are naturally competitive and want
to win, plus they are fighting for their jobs. The coaching staff is not
going to do it. If they are having that bad of a season, they are
concerned about their job. I have not seen any evidence in all my years
of teams tanking a game.”
The Colts (0-7), Dolphins (0-6) and Rams (0-6) are the favorites to get
the top pick. The Cardinals (1-6) and Vikings (1-5) are also in
contention. Can you imagine if the Colts get the pick, the Colts take
Luck and Manning returns next season 100%. The Colts have found out what
life without Manning is like, so there is no way they pass on Luck.
Dolphins fans should picket Radio City on draft night if the Colts get
Luck. In the 12 seasons since Dan Marino retired, the Dolphins have
started 16 different quarterbacks. In the 13 years since Elway retired,
the Broncos have started 11 quaerterbacks. Until this season, Manning
had been the only Colts QB to start since 1998.
It's funny, but before the new collective bargaining agreement included
a drastic reduction in rookie contracts, teams that owned the No. 1
pick were desperate to get rid of it because it just cost too much
money. Bill Parcells, then directing the Dolphins, couldn't give his
first rounder away in 2008, and then made a mistake taking tackle Jake
Long instead of quarterback Matt Ryan.
In any system, no team would run away from Luck, or have trouble
trading the pick if they already had a quarterback, which is the
situation the Rams may be facing since they drafted Sam Bradford with
the top pick in 2010. Bradford signed a six-year $78 million deal with
$50 million guaranteed. Cam Newton, the first No. 1 pick limited by the
new rookie wage scale, signed a four-year, $22 million contract, all of
which is guaranteed.
Why are the Colts so bad when the Patriots survived without Tom Brady?
It was halfway through the first-quarter of the first game of the 2008
season when Brady suffered a season-ending knee injury. He was replaced
by Matt Cassel and the Patriots were presumed to be finished.
Cassel was a complete unknown. He had attempted 22 passes in his first
three years. He never started a game at USC and was a seventh-round
draft pick. The Patriots had no time to prepare for life without Brady.
They went on to win 11 games, although they didn't make the playoffs -
they lost the AFC East division title tie-breaker to the Dolphins and
the wild-card tie-breaker to the Ravens.
The Patriots were coming off an undefeated regular season and were
certainly better than the Colts, who won the AFC South last year with a
10-6 record.
But what's happened to the Colts this year proves they were a one-man
show with Manning and a supporting cast that was nothing without him. He
might be the MVP of the league without taking a snap. Manning is a top
five quarterback of all time, but it's inexcusable the Colts are 0-7 and
were not even interested in playing in last week's 62-7 loss to the
Saints.
Colts president Bill Polian is supposed to be some kind of genius
because he had the good sense to draft Manning over Ryan Leaf, which of
course has turned into the biggest no-brainer in NFL history, but at the
time did cause some debate around the league.
Polian helped build the Bills teams that went to four consecutive Super
Bowls - he was gone after the first three - because he had the good
fortune to inherit Jim Kelly after the USFL folded. His best job might
have been in Carolina, where the expansion Panthers made the NFC
Championship Game in their second year. Collins was his QB and the first
player he drafted in franchise history. But he failed the Colts by not
signing Matt Hasselbeck or trading for Donovan McNabb or just finding
someone better than Painter as soon as the lockout ended.
“Bill Polian is great and he's got a chance at the Hall of Fame,” one
GM said. “But in 100 years, I will never understand why they didn't have
a backup quarterback who is established. I'm even more shocked that
they paid Manning (by signing him to a new contract) without knowing for
sure if he could play or not. Then not to have a plan in place in the
event he couldn't play or couldn't play early. I'm shocked. The only
thing that makes sense is maybe they want Andrew Luck. That would be one
thing that would go through your mind.”
Does he think the Colts are intentionally bad?
“I would never accuse anybody of that. Ever,” he said. “I have too much
respect for the league and too much respect for the people that do
their jobs. But the temptation of thinking it is there. If you are not
thinking it, you are stupid.”
Mara dismissed the idea that the Colts are trying to lose for Luck. “I
know (Polian) well enough to know that,” he said. “This is killing him.”
“I don't think a fan should want a team to lose, whether now or later,”
Luck told the Los Angeles Times. “Fans should support their team, have
them win, and whatever happens, happens.”
The Jets play at Miami in the final game of the season. If they have
nothing at stake, it would be in their best interest to lose if it keeps
Luck out of the AFC East.
Solution: Draft lottery.
CAMPBELL SOUP SERVED COLD
Football is a cold business - consider what happened to Jason Campbell. When he broke his collarbone two weeks ago, the Raiders were en route to their 4-2 record. He was positioning himself for a nice payday as a free agent after the season. Two days after the injury, the Raiders traded for Carson Palmer by giving up a first-round pick in 2012 and a conditional second-round pick in 2013 that could become a first-rounder if Oakland makes the AFC title game in either of the next two seasons. Campbell's career as the Raiders’ starting quarterback is over. Palmer, who picked up where he left off in Cincy by coming into the game last week in the second half and throwing three INTs, is the unquestioned starter for the foreseeable future. That means Campbell will be looking for a new team after the season. “I'm a starter in this league, definitely,” Campbell said last week. “I look around the league and I play at a higher level than most guys. I'm definitely a starter. I'm not ready to accept being in a backup role. I've come too far and done too much and I feel like I'm still pressing on and I haven't even gotten to my best yet.”
Football is a cold business - consider what happened to Jason Campbell. When he broke his collarbone two weeks ago, the Raiders were en route to their 4-2 record. He was positioning himself for a nice payday as a free agent after the season. Two days after the injury, the Raiders traded for Carson Palmer by giving up a first-round pick in 2012 and a conditional second-round pick in 2013 that could become a first-rounder if Oakland makes the AFC title game in either of the next two seasons. Campbell's career as the Raiders’ starting quarterback is over. Palmer, who picked up where he left off in Cincy by coming into the game last week in the second half and throwing three INTs, is the unquestioned starter for the foreseeable future. That means Campbell will be looking for a new team after the season. “I'm a starter in this league, definitely,” Campbell said last week. “I look around the league and I play at a higher level than most guys. I'm definitely a starter. I'm not ready to accept being in a backup role. I've come too far and done too much and I feel like I'm still pressing on and I haven't even gotten to my best yet.”
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